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US Muslims may determine outcome of US presidential election

A Muslim voter

In the United States presidential election next week, an unlikely group of two and a half million voters could play the role of Kingmaker, Muslim Americans.

Joe Biden won an estimated 75% of the Muslim vote in 2020 but many Muslim and Arab voters have publicly vowed to not reward the incumbent Democratic Party's complicity in the Gaza genocide, the bombing of Lebanon, Iran and Yemen, and the domestic spearheading of the so-called Palestinian exception to free speech.

I firmly believe that our community will not vote for a candidate that supports genocide.

And I think that Kamala Harris has come out and made it clear that she supports genocide, and Trump has come out and made it clear that he supports genocide.

I think that there are a lot of people questioning now what we do in this moment, but I think the reality is that the vast majority of our community will not cast a vote for a candidate that supports genocide, and the Democratic Party is responsible for that.

Muhammad Sankari, US Palestinian Community Network

A historic change seems poised to occur, according to a stunning poll last month from the Council on American Islamic Relations, the nation's largest Muslim advocacy organization.

In the six so-called swing states, the Green Party's presidential candidate, Jill Stein, is virtually tied with Kamala Harris among Muslim voter intentions overall, at 29% each.

Stein is leading in Michigan, Wisconsin and Arizona, while Donald Trump leads in Nevada.

Final polls are showing this election to be a dead heat. In the 2020 vote, three swing states, which average 98,000 Muslim voters each, were decided by less than 21,000 votes.

That seems to imply that Muslim voters could bring about a day of reckoning for the Democrats presidential candidate, but significant Muslim voter support for Harris still remains.

I'm hopeful for a better tomorrow.

I don't know that it's going to be better with Kamala Harris, but I feel confident that it'll be worse with Trump, and I am hopeful that Kamala Harris will be more receptive to the concerns of Palestinians than Joe Biden has been.

I don't know for sure, but you know, everybody has to take a leap of faith in elections, and this is the leap of faith that I think is most reasonable.

Saqib Ali, Political Analyst

While Trump has courted the Muslim vote with surprising efforts, a much debated lack of outreach by the Harris campaign seems to indicate that they know the deep problems they have with Muslim voters, and that they either cannot or will not make policy adjustments for a group that could decide the presidential election.

For decades, Democrats have been able to take the Muslim vote for granted, but just as Trump has reshaped the Republican Party in recent years, the upcoming vote seems likely to confirm historic changes for the Democratic Party as well.


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