Israeli intelligence officials estimate that the United States could sustain only “four to five days” of military strikes against Iran if it were to launch acts of aggression against the Islamic Republic, a new report reveals.
The Financial Times on Tuesday carried a report citing an Israeli official who said the United States could carry out an intensive air campaign against Iran lasting “only four to five days,” or about a week of “lower-intensity strikes.”
Citing intelligence sources, the daily added that even with the deployment of the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford and its strike group to the region, Washington’s capacity for a prolonged offensive against Iran would remain limited.
It said Israeli intelligence officials also warned that any such conflict could result in American casualties with significant domestic political consequences for the administration of US President Donald Trump.
The report comes as the Trump administration steps up its military build-up in West Asia, with the US president renewing threats against Iran and warning of a “very bad day” if no agreement is reached in the ongoing nuclear talks with Tehran.
Washington has continued its “maximum pressure” campaign while deploying substantial military assets to the region, including two aircraft carriers, more than a dozen warships, and a large number of warplanes.
Meanwhile, the third round of talks between Washington and Tehran is scheduled for Thursday in Geneva.
Tehran has reiterated that it seeks a diplomatic resolution to the dispute over its nuclear program but has warned it will defend itself decisively if Washington resorts to military action.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the two sides had reached mutual understanding on several issues that could form part of a future agreement. US Vice President JD Vance also acknowledged progress on some matters but said key differences remain.
Meanwhile, regional tensions remain high, with US media reporting internal discussions in Washington over the risks of a wider regional war.
Senior military officials have warned that even limited strikes could trigger unintended consequences, particularly if Iran’s regional allies were to intervene.
The Washington Post reported that General Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has warned Trump of the risks associated with military action against Iran, including the possibility of a costly and prolonged entanglement.
The Wall Street Journal reported that Pentagon officials are concerned about potential US and allied casualties, as well as the strain on American air defenses in the event of strikes on Iranian territory.
Iran has repeatedly warned that even “limited” strikes would trigger a decisive response, placing US regional bases and Israel under immediate fire.