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Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton in new national poll

US Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump (left) and his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton

US Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is leading his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton by 1 point nationally in the race for the White House, a new poll shows.

The new Morning Consult survey released on Tuesday, shows the New York billionaire is favored by 39 percent of likely voters and the former secretary of state is backed by 38 percent.

Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson has 9 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein has 4 percent.

Trump leads Clinton by 10 points, 44 to 33 percent. But Clinton has solid lead over her Republican rival among Hispanic likely voters, 54 to 20 percent and among African-American voters, 75 to 7 percent. 

However, Clinton leads Trump by 2 points among likely voters, 44 to 42 percent, in a head-to-head matchup.  

In the same poll conducted on September 15-16, Clinton had a 2-point lead over her Republican rival in a four-way matchup.

Clinton has maintained a 2.5 point lead in the most recent RealClearPolitics average of polls

In the Washington Post/ABC News poll, also released Sunday, the two candidates were locked in a dead heat among registered voters, each enjoying 41 percent support.

Clinton held a narrow 2-point edge over Trump among likely voters, leading him 46 percent to 44 percent. The slim lead falls well within the survey’s margin of error.

This is while an American professor, who has correctly predicted all the last eight presidential elections, says Trump will win the race for the White House.

Professor Allan Lichtman, an American political historian who teaches at American University in Washington, DC

Allan Lichtman, a distinguished professor of history at American University, told The Washington Post that based on a system he calls "Keys to the White House", Trump will emerge victorious in the November election.

“Based on the 13 keys, it would predict a Donald Trump victory,” he claimed.


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