By this point in his life, Keith
Daniel thought he would be saving for retirement, helping his daughter through
college and slugging his way to glory in his local softball
league.
Instead, the 52-year-old is
burning through his savings and working odd jobs to make ends meet. He hasn't
held a full-time job in over three years.
Much of the attention during the
prolonged U.S. employment crisis has been on high rates of joblessness among
young people. Less noticed, but no less significant to many economists, has been
the plight of the middle-aged.
More than 3.5 million Americans
between the ages of 45 and 64 were unemployed as of May, 39% of them for a year
or more-a rate of long-term unemployment that is unprecedented in modern U.S.
history, and far higher than among younger workers. Millions more have quit
looking for work or, like Mr. Daniel, have taken part-time jobs to get
by.
"I try not to think that this is
the end and I'm just going to have to shut everything down," Mr. Daniel says.
"My mind doesn't work that way. I think that if I can get up I'll find
something. I've got to keep moving."
The two decades between 40 and 60
are meant to be workers' prime years for earning and building wealth, the period
when they buy homes, send children to college and save for retirement.
Unemployment, especially for an extended period, can short-circuit that process.
The effect can span generations, because middle-age workers are more likely to
be supporting retired parents, sending their children to college or supporting
adult children.
Part of what set the most recent
recession apart from the milder downturns of the 1990s and early 2000s, argues
Steven Davis, an economist at the University of Chicago, is that this recession
didn't primarily strike young workers, or those with erratic work histories. It
also hit productive, steady workers in the prime of their careers-people who are
ordinarily the backbone of the economy.
In the 1990s, the unemployment
rate among 45- to 64-year-olds peaked at 5.7%. In the brutal downturn of the
1980s, that jobless rate barely topped 7%. This time, it topped out at
8.2%.
As of May, the unemployment rate
for people ages 45 to 64 was 6%, some 10 points lower than for people under 25.
But the lower rate disguises the fact that when middle-aged people lose their
jobs, it's much harder for them to find a new one. Those between 45 and 64 take
almost a year on average to find a job, more than two months longer than workers
between 25 and 44.
"Even when you do return to work,
it's a much worse job than before you were laid off," says Sewin Chan, a New
York University economist who has studied the impacts of late-in-life job loss.
"No one's going to reward you for skills that only apply to your old
job."
Some experts have suggested the
government has made the problem of long-term unemployment worse by extending
jobless benefits-just under half a worker's previous salary, on average-to up to
99 weeks in some cases. They worry that could discourage some job-seekers from
looking for work or from accepting low-end jobs.
David Grubb, an economist at the
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, has estimated that at
least half the increase in unemployment during the recession could be tied to
extended benefits. Other studies have found far smaller effects from extended
unemployment benefits. In recent months, extended benefits have expired in many
states while long-term unemployment has remained
high.
Some middle-age job seekers worry
they will end up being effectively retired, without the resources for the
retirement they had expected. Appleton, Wis., resident Tonja Adams was 62 when
she lost her job as a sales associate at a local publisher of safety literature
in 2009. A former freelance art director for advertising agencies, she expected
to find work quickly.
"I'd never been out of work for
any length of time in my life," Ms. Adams says. "I just networked like crazy and
I just assumed that I would get a job within two or three
months."
More than three years later, she
is still looking. Her savings gone, she was forced to take Social Security
early, though that meant accepting a lower payout. The monthly checks for $1,280
don't cover her expenses. She receives food stamps and, to her embarrassment,
help from her elderly parents.
She is still looking for work,
she says. "I never would have dreamed that I could not find a job, that I was
unemployable."
Even workers who took advantage
of unemployment benefits to improve their skills haven't necessarily found work.
When Earl Schoolfield lost his job in 2009 after two decades in
telecommunications sales and customer support, he quickly found he needed to go
back to school if he wanted to get a job. The 59-year-old Bridgeport, Conn.,
resident spent a year getting his certification as a computer technician. His
unemployment benefits expired last year after close to two
years.
The new credential hasn't helped.
Last fall, Mr. Schoolfield's 22-year-old niece helped him land a part-time job
on the night shift at a local heating-oil supplier, paying $180 a week. He also
found seasonal work as a package handler for FedEx during the
holidays.
Other than that, Mr. Schoolfield
has had little luck finding work. He has borrowed against his life insurance,
dipped into his church's benevolent fund and gone on food stamps. Taking in a
boarder hasn't been enough to keep Mr. Schoolfield from the brink of eviction,
he says.
The struggles of the middle-aged
unemployed point to a larger economic problem: The labor market can't fully heal
until people like Ms. Adams and Messrs. Daniel and Schoolfield can get back to
work. The longer it takes, the deeper and more permanent the scars of the
recession become-not just for the workers themselves, but for the broader
economy.
On a recent Wednesday morning,
Mr. Daniel sat at the converted poker table that serves as a desk in his
sparsely furnished home on Chicago's outskirts. He pored over job listings on
Craigslist, noting prospects in neat pencil in a spiral-bound notebook next to
his laptop. So far on this day, the notebook had one entry: a job driving
patients for a local medical clinic. He dialed the
number.
"I'm calling about the
nonemergency driver position," says Mr. Daniel, his phone to his
ear.
The person he needs to talk to
isn't there. He is told to call back after 3 p.m.
Such moments-calls that go
unreturned, interviews that lead nowhere, online applications that disappear
into the ether-are among the most difficult in a job search, says Jennifer Drew,
a case manager at National Able Network, a Chicago-based nonprofit that works
with unemployed adults, mostly in their 40s and
50s.
Ms. Drew has worked with Mr.
Daniel and says he has done an unusually good job keeping his spirits up. But
long-term unemployment can be demoralizing for anyone. "Job searching by
yourself in your home can be very isolating and very discouraging," Ms. Drew
says.
Middle-aged people struggle to
find work for a variety of reasons: They are more reluctant to change industries
than their younger counterparts and tend to have greater financial commitments
that make it harder to start over with an entry level job. Because they made
career choices decades earlier, they are more likely to work in industries in
decline.
They are also less able to move
to find work, more likely to be tied down by a mortgage or a spouse's job.
Experts say employers often give preference to younger workers, who they
perceive to be more flexible, technologically savvy and able to "grow with the
company."
AHT/ARA