US implementation of 'Libya model' in North Korea to fail: Analyst
The so-called “Libya model" for North Korea which the United States plans to use against Pyongyang is destined to fail, according to an independent analyst in London.
US President Donald Trump’s new national security adviser, John Bolton, said recently that he proposed the “Libya model” to denuclearize North Korea.
Adam Garrie, a political writer and activist, told Press TV on Wednesday that Washington would surely like North Korea to voluntarily disarm -- as was the case in Libya before the West launched its devastating war on the North African country which led to the ouster of long-time ruler Muammar Gaddafi.
“I have no doubt that Washington would like to do to North Korea what it did to Libya, in so far as get it to voluntarily disarm, then of course, there will be a betrayal, and there will be a war," according to Garrie.
The “Libya model”, however, Garrie argued, will not be able to achieve the same results in North Korea as it did in North Africa for two reasons.
“The first and most obvious is that North Korea borders two economic …[and] nuclear superpowers,” China and Russia, which are allied with Pyongyang’s government.
Garrie said that Moscow and Beijing will surely exert pressure on Washington during any future peace talks to have the two Koreas denuclearize simultaneously.
“In order for the denuclearization to proceed, there needs to be guarantees from the US side to demilitarize its facilities in South Korea.”
Garrie said that Trump would accept this condition because it was cost-effective.
“Trump, surprisingly, may actually want to do [disarmament] , because, one, they are very expensive … two, it’s more cost-effective for the US.”
Another reason why the case of North Korea is different from Libya, according to Garrie, is related to the reunification of North and South
Garrie argued that the expeditious reunification of the two Koreas will eliminate the contentious and dividing issues between Seoul and Pyongyang -- taking the pretext of missile attacks and nuclear war away from the US and its allies in the region.
A unified Korea will create an obstacle for any invasion and war by the West on the country.
“If there is an integrated Korea … there will literally be nothing to invade… in that sense, the US wouldn’t be able to do much. ”
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