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US, China heading toward military confrontation over South China Sea: Analyst

US Navy and Singapore ships steam through the South China Sea for the second of two combined Singapore and United States naval formations during a division tactics exercise during the Cooperation Afloat Readiness and Training (CARAT) 2008. (File photo)

The South China Sea dispute is eventually leading toward a potential military confrontation between China and the United States, a military analyst in Washington says.

Michael Maloof, a former senior security policy analyst in the office of the US Secretary of Defense, made the remarks on Saturday during an interview with Press TV while commenting on US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter’s warning to China against developing man-made islands in the South China Sea.

Speaking at a security conference in Singapore, Carter demanded China immediately stop developing islands in the South China Sea and accused it of acting “out of step with both the international rules and norms."

The annual Shangri-La Dialogue was attended by defense ministers and high-ranking military officials from China, Europe and other Asia-Pacific countries.

US Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter speaks during the first plenary session at the 14th Asia Security Summit, the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) Shangri-La Dialogue 2015 in Singapore on May 30, 2015. (AFP photo)

“The question of China’s ownership – if you can call it that - of the Spratly and other islands in the South China Sea is questionable,” Maloof said. “But on the other hand, they have a long history near those islands and on the islands, historically.”

"In fact, they built a base on one of the shoals there. There is nothing in and of itself against that. The issue has to do with China is now saying they'll be no overflights, and that they will control all navigation into the South China Sea, and that's where the problem lies, and the United States and along with other countries such as Malaysia and the Philippines, even India all claim that China doesn’t have that right of claim,” he added.

“The issue also has to do with mineral rights on the seabed and under the seabed, which is what China is looking for, because they are energy starved, and they are looking for new resources,” he continued.

Washington accuses Beijing of undergoing a massive “land reclamation” program in the Spratly archipelago of the South China Sea, and says China’s territorial claims of the man-made islands could further militarize the region.

The United States says its surveillance of China’s artificial islands indicates that Beijing has positioned weaponry on one of the islands it has built in the South China Sea.

Citing unnamed US officials, The Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that the surveillance imagery detected two Chinese motorized artillery pieces on one of the islands developed almost one month ago.

Beijing says it is determined to safeguard its sovereignty and territorial integrity in the South China Sea.

The Spratly group of islands in the South China Sea, west of Palawan (AFP photo)

“China is asserting itself militarily, and the fact that the United States is moving in military assets to reinforce navigation is OK, but if like [Ashton Carter] says they can't build a base, if then they can't do what they want to do on questionable ownership of islands then that's going a little too far and that's actually setting up a military confrontation,” Maloof said.

"The Chinese have warned the United States that they are going to defend their right to do that. I doubt they will stop air flights and civilian ships, but the Chinese have raised the issue of posing potential confrontation with military vessels particularly from the United States. So inevitably what this is all leading to is a potential confrontation between China and the United States, militarily," he noted.

A Chinese state-owned newspaper has warned that “a US-China war is inevitable in the South China Sea,” unless Washington stops demanding Beijing halt its construction projects there.

“The intensity of the conflict will be higher than what people usually think of as ‘friction’,” The Global Times, an influential newspaper owned by the ruling Communist Party’s official newspaper The People’s Daily, said in an editorial Monday.

GJH/GJH


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